Map Shows Trump’s Approval Rating in Every State 1 Month Until Midterms - Newsweek

One month before November's midterm elections, President Donald Trump is underwater in 39 states and every major battleground state, according to new polling.

The figures come from Civiqs' rolling online tracker, based on 133,869 responses from registered voters collected between January 20, 2025, and October 2, 2026.

A Newsweek analysis compares the latest state ratings with those recorded when Trump began his second term, with net approval calculated as approval minus disapproval.

Nationally, 34 percent approve of Trump's job performance, and 60 percent disapprove, giving him a net approval rating of -26.

Presidential approval is not an election forecast, but it helps define the environment in which candidates compete. With control of Congress at stake on November 3, Trump's negative ratings could affect Republican turnout, campaign messaging and close races in contested states.

Use the map below to explore Trump's net approval rating in every state one month before the midterms.

Trump's remaining positive ratings are concentrated in Republican-leaning territory.

Wyoming is his strongest state at +18, followed by North Dakota at +15 and West Virginia at +12. Arkansas records +9, while Idaho stands at +8, and Alabama at +6.

South Dakota is at +5, Oklahoma at +4, Kansas at +3, and Utah at +2.

Montana is the sole tied state, with 46 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving.

Even within the positive group, Trump's standing has weakened since January 2025. Wyoming has fallen from +47 to +18, North Dakota from +34 to +15, and West Virginia from +35 to +12.

The national demographic figures help explain the state-level map.

Among voters aged 18 to 34, 20 percent approve of Trump's performance while 73 percent disapprove, producing a 53-point gap. Among those aged 35 to 49, 26 percent approve and 66 percent disapprove.

Older voters are less negative, although Trump remains underwater. Among voters aged 50 to 64, 44 percent approve and 51 percent disapprove. Among those aged 65 and older, 44 percent approve and 52 percent disapprove.

Independents disapprove by 65 percent to 27 percent, while Republicans approve by 78 percent to 12 percent. Female voters disapprove by 65 percent to 29 percent, compared with a 54-to-39 split among male voters.

Education presents another divide. Trump's approval stands at 24 percent among postgraduates, 32 percent among college graduates and 37 percent among non-college graduates, although disapproval exceeds approval in all three groups.

Black voters disapprove by 90 percent to 7 percent, Hispanic voters by 70 percent to 26 percent, and white voters by 52 percent to 41 percent.

The battleground map remains difficult for Trump one month before election day.

Several of these states were positive or evenly divided at the start of Trump's term. Florida has moved from +9 to -16, Ohio from +8 to -17, and Nevada from 0 to -24. North Carolina has fallen from 0 to -15.

The figures do not directly measure support for congressional candidates, but they indicate the political conditions in which Republicans are fighting during the final month of the campaign.

Trump's net approval is lower in every state than it was on January 20, 2025.

Many of the sharpest declines have occurred in states that initially gave Trump comfortable positive ratings, rather than in Democratic strongholds where opposition was already entrenched.

Trump's weakest ratings remain concentrated in Democratic territory.

Hawaii records the lowest net approval at -58, followed by Maryland at -52 and Vermont at -51.

California and Massachusetts are both at -47, while Connecticut stands at -46.

Washington registers -42, New York -39, and Oregon and Rhode Island -38.

The movement in these states is less dramatic than in some Republican areas because Trump began his second term with approval already near its floor.

The White House has downplayed the significance of opinion polling, instead pointing to Trump's 2024 election victory as the clearest expression of public support.

Spokesperson Davis Ingle has repeatedly cited the nearly 80 million voters who backed Trump as evidence of the administration's mandate. "The ultimate poll was November 5th 2024," Ingle said, arguing that Americans elected Trump to deliver a "popular and commonsense agenda."

Ingle said Trump remains focused on creating jobs, reducing inflation and improving housing affordability. The White House maintains that the administration has already made "historic progress" and that "this is just the beginning as his agenda continues taking effect."

Newsweek emailed the White House for further comment on Friday morning.

Newsweek’s reporters and editors used Martyn, our AI assistant, to produce this story. Learn more about Martyn here.

Contact Newsweek editors for this story: Sam Stevenson and Anthony Murray.