Conrad Black: Carney's invasion musings - National Post

Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks during a Liberal caucus meeting on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, September 18, 2026. Photo by Blair Gable/PostmediaArticle contentThe green shoots of rational thought may finally be surging out of the ground in the current imbroglio between Canada and the United States. In his recent interview with the New York Times, Prime Minister Carney made a good many appropriate conciliatory noises, without backing down an inch on the legitimate points of Canadian sovereignty that he has been making. It was perhaps foreordained that before this exchange reverted to reasonable civility between apparently responsible people, it was necessary that reference be made to the possibility of armed conflict between Canada and the United States.

I’ve described this elsewhere as equivalent in likelihood to an invasion of Martians or of angry elves commanded by Santa Claus. In the early 1920s Canadian Lt.-Col. James “Buster” Sutherland Brown, in charge of strategic planning, conceived of a conflict with United States in which Canada would take the initiative by storming across the border, seizing cities east and west. He was regarded at the time as possibly deranged and transferred to other tasks, but was revived decades later by militant anti-Americans in Canada as a clairvoyant folk hero.

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Of course, there have been moments in the distant past when armed conflict on the Canada-U.S. border was a legitimate consideration. The admirers of the founders of the U.S. Democratic Party, Thomas Jefferson and James Madison, commended themselves for doubling its size of America by the Louisiana Purchase from Napoleon, while shrinking the defense budget. They failed to notice that in disbanding the army of 20,000 trained soldiers that the first president, General George Washington, and his chosen successor John Adams had maintained, they lost all deterrence against abusive conduct by the Royal Navy. The British imposed a naval blockade on the United States and overwhelmed the commerce of New England with smuggling from Canada, and Jefferson invoked the insurrection act in border areas.

President Madison, principal author of the Constitution of the United States and one of the greatest lawgivers in history, rising above Hammurabi, Justinian, and Napoleon, plunged into the war of 1812 unaware that he had no forces whatever to expel the British from Canada. He was also unable to overcome the loyalty of the French Canadians to the British crown, which they had promised in exchange for the freedom of religion, language, and the Civil Code that had been assured to them in the Quebec Act of 1774. Many years later, in the last months of his life in 1826, Jefferson described the conquest of Canada as “a mere matter of marching.” Only if you had the troops to march.

When Canada became an independent country, July 1, 1867, the minister of defense and the militia, Sir George-Etienne Cartier, in preparation for anticipated cross-border attacks by the American Fenians, recent immigrants from Ireland, fugitives of the famine full of hate for the oppressions of the English in their home country, managed the astounding feat, which would not be easily duplicated today, of raising an armed and trained militia of nearly 40,000 Canadians near border crossing points with the United States from New Brunswick to Southwestern Ontario. This deterred the Fenians, and at the Washington conference of 1871, our first and shamefully desecrated prime minister, John A. Macdonald, joined and was a key player with the British Empire delegation in working out a comprehensive settlement of all American grievances with Britain and gaining the clear recognition of both great powers of Canada’s independence.